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Europe: Evrobasket U16 B
Europe: Evrobasket U16 B
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Europe: Evrobasket U16 B

Denmark U16 - Estonia U16

Basketball
Denmark U16
Denmark U16
82 : 89
Finished
Estonia U16
Estonia U16

Denmark U16 take on Estonia U16 on August 7, 2026 in the Europe: Evrobasket U16 B.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Denmark U1650%

1 · Denmark U1650.3%
2 · Estonia U1649.7%

Model estimate: win Denmark U16 50.3%, win Estonia U16 49.7%. Model favourite — Denmark U16.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Denmark U16 (odds1.99) Score 81:79 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Denmark U16: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Denmark U16 - Estonia U16 August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Denmark U16.

Line favourite market consensus: Denmark U16. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.03 / 2 12.50
  • Glicko: Denmark U16 50.3% / Estonia U16 49.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.3% 2 books
1 91.4%
2 8.6%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Denmark U16
91%
1.03
Estonia U16
9%
12.50

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 11:30 UTC
Market 1 92.4% @ 1.03 / 2 7.6% @ 12.50
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Denmark U16 50%
💹 Market Denmark U16 91%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Denmark U16 - Estonia U16

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 82:89
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table home - 50.3% fact: away missed / Brier 0.506 / LogLoss 0.699
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table home - 50.1% fact: away missed / Brier 0.502 / LogLoss 0.696
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Denmark U16 - 50.3% model pick
Estonia U16 - 49.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Denmark U16 / Estonia U16
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 market consensus · weak value +372.0% · model 49.7%
1 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 50.3%
Total
Over 144.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Over 145.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
1.86 53.8%
1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.91 52.4%
1.79 55.9%
1.82 55.0%
1.88 53.2% 1.81 55.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.78 56.2%
1.89 52.9%

Total

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
Over 144.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 145.5 1.81 55.3%
Over 153.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 154.5 1.79 55.9%
Over 157.5 1.91 52.4%
Over 158.5 1.81 55.3%
Over 159.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 144.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 145.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 153.5 1.79 55.9%
Under 154.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 157.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 158.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 159.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1%
12.50 8.0% 9.50 10.5%
Match center
Estonia U16
W
06.08 19:00 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U16 B
Estonia U16 74:65 Hungary U16Hungary U16
1 Wins
0 Losses
74.0 Scored
65.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDenmark U16 - Estonia U16

Denmark U16
0 matches total
Estonia U16
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history