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แอลเอ็นบีพี
แอลเอ็นบีพี International
07.08.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

แอลเอ็นบีพี

Abejas de Leon - Astros Jalisco

International Basketball
Abejas de Leon
Abejas de Leon
66 : 80
Finished
Astros Jalisco
Astros Jalisco

Abejas de Leon face Astros Jalisco on August 7, 2026 in the แอลเอ็นบีพี, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Abejas de Leon 0-0-1, Astros Jalisco 0-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 55% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Abejas de Leon — 55%

1 · Abejas de Leon ✓ Pick55.2%
2 · Astros Jalisco44.8%

Model estimate: win Abejas de Leon 55.2%, win Astros Jalisco 44.8%. Model favourite — Abejas de Leon.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Abejas de Leon (odds2.07) Score 81:79 Under 166.5 (odds2.03) ✓ Handicap H1 +2.5 (odds1.85) ✗ confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Abekhas de Leon: forma P (0-1)
  • • Astros Khalisko: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Abekhas de Leon: probability 55% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.07)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Total: Under 166.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 166.5 (odds 2.03)
  • • Handicap F1 +2.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Abejas de Leon - Astros Jalisco August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Astros Jalisco.

Line favourite Fonbet: Astros Jalisco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Abejas de Leon 55.2% / Astros Jalisco 44.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 ✓ Pick 9.6%
2 90.4%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.07 ↑ 9.50
Winner 2 1.67 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Abejas de Leon
#38 ptsGP 53-2
Astros Jalisco
#112 ptsGP 75-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

14Wins13
87.9Points on average88.0

Head-to-head matches: 27 · average total 175.8 (points)

Team form

Abejas de Leon
4-6WLLLLWWLWL
points for 88.8points against 94.5
Astros Jalisco
7-3LWWLWWWWLW
points for 83.6points against 79.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 13:27 UTC
1 35%
2 65% ✓ favourite
Score91:97 Total points: Over 188.5 Bet:2
Claude updated06.08.2026 13:30 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score90:95 Total points: Over 181.5 Bet:2 — win Astros Khalisko (ot 1.70)

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 35% 65% 91:97 Over 188.5
Claude 38% 62% 90:95 Over 181.5

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 9.6% @ 9.50 / 2 90.4% @ 1.01
Form 2 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Astros Jalisco 64%
📐 Math model Abejas de Leon 55%
💹 Market Astros Jalisco 90%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Abejas de Leon - Astros Jalisco

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 66:80
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.610 / LogLoss 0.804
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.543 / LogLoss 0.736
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Abejas de Leon 9.6% 55.2% Glicko contrarian
Astros Jalisco 90.4% 44.8% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 55.2% / 44.8% probabilities
Rating 1,343 / 1,236 Abejas de Leon / Astros Jalisco
RD 291 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 761-1,925 / 653-1,819 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 44.8%
1 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +424.7% · model 55.2%
Total
Over 158.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.80 55.6%
2.50 40.0%
1.95 51.3%
2.02 49.5%
2.25 44.4%
2.55 39.2%
2.95 33.9%
3.00 33.3%
2.60 38.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.48 67.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.47 68.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 158.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 159.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 160.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 161.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 162.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 163.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 164.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 165.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 166.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 168.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 169.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 170.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 171.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 172.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 173.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 174.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 175.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
9.50 10.5%
1.01 99.0%
Match center
Abejas de Leon
L
31.07 01:15 UTC LNBP
Abejas de Leon 60:62 El Kalor de KankunEl Kalor de Kankun
0 Wins
1 Losses
60.0 Scored
62.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Astros Jalisco
L
25.07 02:00 UTC LNBP
Astros Jalisco 71:86 Gambusinos de FresnilloGambusinos de Fresnillo
0 Wins
1 Losses
71.0 Scored
86.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage