Wolverhampton take on Port Vale on August 7, 2026 in the EFL Cup.
Recent form (W-D-L): Wolverhampton 3-1-1, Port Vale 4-0-1. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 72% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Wolverhampton — 72%
Pure model vs market (1 · Wolverhampton): model 44% · market 74%Δ −30 ppmodel estimates below the market
72%1
1 · Wolverhampton ✓ Pick72.3%
market74%
X · draw16.8%
market16%
2 · Port Vale10.9%
market9%
Model estimate: win Wolverhampton 72.3%, draw 16.8%, win Port Vale 10.9%. Model favourite — Wolverhampton.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Wolverhampton
75%
1.29
Draw
16%
20.00
Port Vale
9%
47.00
Total
Over 3.5
41%
11.50
Under 3.5
59%
1.60
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Vulverkhempton - Port Veyl, 7 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Cup Angliyskoy futbolnoy ligi 2026/27, 1-y raund. Vulverkhempton - Port Veyl, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H3
head-to-head matches
Market3
model / bookmakers
SportsMolepreview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscorecontext
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 72.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 29.0% / Brier 0.117 / LogLoss 0.324
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 72.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 29.0% / Brier 0.117 / LogLoss 0.324
Glicko-2: public filterAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 72.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 29.0% / Brier 0.117 / LogLoss 0.324
Glicko-2: precision filterAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 72.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 29.0% / Brier 0.117 / LogLoss 0.324
Market and Glicko
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Wolverhampton74.1%72.3%market and model agree
Draw16.5%16.8%draw risk
Port Vale9.5%10.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P272.3% / 16.8% / 10.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
29.90
market consensus · no value · model 10.9%
X5.77
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.01
Fonbet · no value · model 72.3%
Double chance
121.04
Fonbet · no value · model 83.2%
1X1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 89.1%
X26.20
Fonbet · no value · model 27.7%
Handicap
2 -12.30
Fonbet · line only
1 -11.58
Fonbet · line only
1 01.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.11
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.55.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No1.02
Fonbet · line only
Yes10.00
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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